WIND RUSH 8. Is wind energy much use at all?

The UK Government has already acknowledged that wind turbines in urban areas are ineffective, and a government minister has said that wind energy will nor help to fill the Energy Gap (although she thought it would help against Global Warming) – see the CG website news item  headedGovernment admits that wind energy is ineffective” Under August 2008).

Over the past six months we have had a financial crisis of historic proportions, which has tended to push to one side the clear evidence that the UK is running headlong into an energy crisis within a decade. Some of our real experts like Professor Ian Fells (CG website  news item under September 2008, “A Pragmatic Energy Policy for the UK” ) have been publishing reports which show this to highly likely outcome, whilst the Government has produced an energy policy which actually places an enormous burden on wind energy. Just to make it clear that it doesn’t understand reality it had a cabinet shake-up in which the only minister who seemed to have some inkling of the problem (John Hutton), was moved away from the energy into another department. Then the Government and created another department which combined Energy and “Climate Change”. The purpose of this was to be a resolution of the conflicts between energy and the environment, but by putting in Ed Miliband as Minister ensured that Climate issues would dominate over energy security.

 

Over the last six months www.countryguardian.net has featured several reports on this topic, but the most comprehensive and focused on our campaign was published in June:

Wind Chill : Why wind energy will not fill the UK’s energy gap

 

Commissioned by the Centre for Policy Studies and written by Tony Lodge

 

TONY LODGE is a political and energy analyst who has regularly

written and commentated on the energy crisis and on the energy

choices facing Britain. He is a former Editor of The European

Journal. His publications include Electrifying Britain – Forward with

Coal, Gas or Nuclear? (Economic Research Council, 2005), Clean

Coal – A Clean, Secure and Affordable Alternative (Centre for Policy

Studies, 2007) and All Hot Air – Labour’s Failed Strategy on Fuel

Poverty (The Bow Group, 2008).

 

The full report can be downloaded from http://www.cps.org.uk/cpsfile.asp?id=1026

 

It is also available in book form from http://www.cps.org.uk/ 

 

This abreviated version is produced by kind permission of the Centre for Policy Studies.

Its purpose is to give an overview of the report, by quoting significant passages without editing the text itself. Note also that the report is fully referenced; the referenced are not included here.

 

 

 

Chapter

Page

Summary

 

1. Introduction

1

2. Lessons from Denmark

6

3. Capacity issues

9

4. The impact on electricity bills

11

5. Declining confidence

17

6. Planning

23

7. Environmental and military objections

28

8. Conclusion

34

Appendix: Survey results

 

37

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SUMMARY

 

  • Britain faces an energy gap of up 32 GW by 2015 as older

coal and nuclear power stations are paid off.

  • At the same time, Britain has made a binding
  • commitment to deliver 15% of all its energy consumption

from renewable energy sources by 2020.

  • Government policy is based on using wind power both to

help close the energy gap and to meet its renewable

energy targets.

  • If the Government is to meet its renewables target, then

the amount of electricity to be generated by wind farms

will have to increase by more than 20 times.

Expensive

  • This will be very expensive. Electricity generated by wind

turbines already enjoys huge subsidies and tax breaks

through the Renewables Obligation scheme.

  • The Government has now accepted that the total costs of

meeting the 2020 target will be £100 billion. This is the

equivalent of £4,000 for every household in the country.

  • The Royal Academy of Engineering has calculated that

wind energy is two and a half times more expensive

than other forms of electricity generation in the UK.

 

Unreliable

 

  • Wind generation does not provide a reliable supply of

power. It must be backed up by other baseload sources.

  • Greater reliance on wind power could lead to electricity

supply disruptions if the wind does not blow, blows too

hard or does not blow where wind farms are located.

  • The experience of Denmark – often hailed for its

pioneering development of wind farms – is that wind

energy is expensive, inefficient and not even

particularly “green”. There are signs that other

countries are losing some of their enthusiasm for wind

power.

 

Unpopular

 

  • There is no evidence that people are prepared to pay for

wind power. Only 15% of people say that they are fairly

or very willing to pay higher electricity bills if the extra

money funds renewable power sources such as wind.

The figures for “very unwilling” and “fairly unwilling”

are 37% and 24% respectively.

  • This over-reliance on expensive wind energy, coupled

with rising gas prices, will drive six million households

into fuel poverty.

 

Disrupting

 

  • Present wind farm planning applications do not take into

consideration the economic viability of the project or

whether the topography and meteorological conditions

are suitable.

  • The planning system already favours wind farm

developers. But if the Government is to meet its

renewable target by 2020, then current planning

regulations will have to be weighted even further in

favour of wind farm suppliers.

  • The Ministry of Defence has recently lodged last minute

objections to at least four onshore wind farms claiming

the turbines will interfere with their national air defence

radar.

 

The alternative

 

  • The energy gap must be filled with equivalent baseload

capacity as quickly as possible.

  • The UK should therefore now develop its nuclear, clean

coal (including coal gasification) and other renewable

supplies of energy (particularly tidal).

  • Wind energy, in contrast, should only play a negligible

           role in plugging Britain’s looming energy gap.

 

 

 

Chapter 1

 

INTRODUCTION

 

Wind energy also plays a central role in the UK’s

attempts to meet its targets for renewable energy. The UK

has been allocated a binding target to increase renewable

energy to 15% of total energy consumption, and 40% of

electricity generation, by 2020 by the EU.

The following table shows how UK renewables in 2006

provide 4.6% of Britain’s energy. Of this, 23% is generated

by wind turbines, representing 1.1% of total UK electricity

production. The rest of this renewable output is largely met

from hydro electric plants, solar and biofuels. However, in

order to meet the 2020 target, the increase in wind energy is

immense. If the 2020 target is to be met, the Renewables

Advisory Board (RAB), which provides advice to the

Government and is sponsored by the DBERR, has

estimated that this will have to increase to 36.5% – or 88.6%

of total renewable energy generation in the UK.

 

Electricity generated from wind power, 2006

Source: Digest of UK Energy Statistics, 2007                                                        

 

GWh generated

% of renewable

electricity production

 

% of total

electricity

production

 

 

On shore wind

3574

19.7

0.9

 

Off shore wind

651

3.6

0.2

 

Total

4225

23.3

1.1

 

 

 

RAB target for percentage of electricity generated from wind power by 2020 if

15% target to be met
Source: Renewables Advisory Board (RAB).

 

 

 

% of renewable

electricity production

 

% of total

electricity

production

 

On shore wind

 

37.1

15.3

 

Off shore wind

 

51.4

21.2

 

Total

 

88.6

36.5

 

 

 

If these targets are to be met, then the amount of

electricity to be generated by wind farms will have to

increase from 4,225 GWh in 2006 to 87,000 GWh in 2020.

This is over 20 times greater than the amount currently

Generated.

 

Based on current projections this would necessitate

around 10,000 new offshore and onshore wind turbines by

2020.3 There are currently under 2,000 turbines in the UK.

The great majority of these new turbines will have to be

built onshore on grounds of cost and accessibility.

The Renewables Obligation (RO) is the Government’s

principal policy instrument to encourage the development

of the renewable electricity sector. It is an indirect subsidy

system drawing funds from consumer bills, and passing

them to renewable electricity generators. This currently

amounts to £1 billion a year, an amount which will have to

rise significantly to fund the construction and development

of these wind farms. It is already projected that by its

conclusion in 2027 it will have totalled around £32 billion –

a figure which could well be far too low.

OFGEM has criticised the Renewables Obligation,

concluding that “We fully support the Government’s aims of

reducing carbonemissions and promoting renewable generation

but we think there are cheaper and simpler ways of meeting these

 aims than the RO scheme which is forecast to cost business and

domestic customer over £30 billion”.
Energy Minister, Malcolm Wicks, confirmed that wind was the main
benefactor from the RO, “I agree that the
Renewables Obligation could
appear to be a blunt instrument and certainly seems to be favouring one

technology – the wind farm.”

But does wind power live up to the claims made by its

advocates? How benign is its impact on the environment?

Will it really be able to deliver the promise of clean, cheap

and reliable electricity? Or would the money spent on it be

more effectively directed towards supporting new

technologies which will allow us to develop more reliable

and cheaper forms of baseload energy in a cleaner way?
The challenges now facing Government, local planners,

wind farm companies and consumers are considerable.

They are only likely to grow if the Government is to reach

the EU’s renewable target. These challenges include:

  • For central government, a substantial increase in the

subsidy given to wind companies through the Renewables

Obligation. This will increase electricity bills.

  • For local authority planning departments, a massive rise

in (and almost certainly unpopular) applications for new

wind farms.

  • For wind farm companies, an increase in subsidies as raw

materials become more expensive and planning

applications become longer and harder to approve.

  • For electricity customers, an increase in their utility bills

to subsidise thousands of new wind turbines across Britain.

Households currently trapped in fuel poverty,half of whom are

pensioners, will be the worst affected.So, before embarking

on the construction of 10,000 new wind turbines, we should

surely ask, as this report does,whether wind energy really is the best,

or even a sensible,way forward.

 

Chapter 2

 

LESSONS FROM DENMARK

DENMARK IS Europe’s most-wind intensive state. With a

population of 5.4 million, it has over 6,000 turbines that in

2002 produced electricity equal to 19% of what the country

used. In theory, at peak output, the Danish wind farms

could account for nearly 64% of Danish peak power

demand.

However, not a single conventional power plant has been

closed in the period that Danish wind farms have been

developed. Because of the intermittency and variability of

the wind, conventional power plants have had to be kept

running at full capacity to meet the actual demand for

electricity and to provide back-up.7

Furthermore, the Danes have found that it is not

practical for large baseload plants to be turned on and off as

the wind dies and rises: indeed, the quick ramping up and

down of those plants, such as coal, would actually increase

their output of pollution and carbon dioxide (the primary

greenhouse gas). Baseload stations have to keep running so
that they can ‘shadow’ wind turbines due to their

intermittency. So when the wind is blowing perfectly for the

turbines, the power they generate is usually a surplus and

sold to other countries at an extremely discounted price; or

the turbines are simply shut off. According to the

Copenhagen newspaper Politiken, wind met only 1.7% of

Denmark’s total demand in 1999.8 And in 2003, for

example, 84% of western Denmark’s wind-generated

electricity was exported (at a revenue loss). Denmark’s grid

accepted only 3.3% of electricity generated by its vast wind

farms.9 This has undermined the “green” credentials of

Danish wind farms. For example, the Danish grid used 50%

more coal-generated electricity in 2006 than in 2005 to

cover wind’s failings. The increase in the demand for coal,

needed to plug the gap left by underperforming wind

farms, meant that Danish carbon emissions rose by 36% in

2006.10

 

Chapter 3

 

CAPACITY ISSUES

We’re a big supporter of wind, but at the time when customers

have the greatest needs, it’s typically not available.

Wayne Brunetti, CEO of Xcel Energy

WIND FARMS PERFORM BRILLIANTLY if their average output

reaches as much as 35% of their generating capacity. On

very rare occasions, when conditions are ideal (typically a

sustained wind speed of around 30 mph), wind farms can

produce 100% of their generating capacity. But as the wind

slows, electricity output falls off exponentially.14 In

comparison coal fired plants run at about 75% capacity and

nuclear plants can operate as high as 92% capacity.

The evidence is that, throughout Europe, wind turbines

have produced on average less than 20% of their theoretical

(or rated) capacity in recent years. On-shore turbines in the

UK ran at 24.1% of their capacity in 2003. The average in

Germany for 1998-2003 was 14.7%. The figure in Denmark

was 16.8% in 2002 and 19% in 2003 (in February 2003, the

output was just 4%)

 

Chapter 4

 

THE IMPACT ON

ELECTRICITY BILLS

Without the Renewable Obligation certificates, nobody would be

building wind farms.

Paul Golby, the Chief Executive of E.ON UK18

WIND ENERGY is financially unsustainable without the

Renewables Obligation, even with the currently record oil

prices. This subsidy is paid to the wind farm developer and in

some cases the landowner accommodating the turbines. The

community does not normally gain from the development.

The subsidy is administered through the Renewables

Obligation scheme, a highly complex and little understood

payment mechanism. This obliges electricity suppliers to

purchase a set percentage of qualifying renewably generated

electricity. In 2004-05, this stood at 4.9% of qualifying

electricity. This will rise to 10% by 2010. This is effectively a

hidden tax on all electricity consumers; and a huge hidden

subsidy, currently amounting to £1 billion a year and by the

end of the scheme will have totalled some £32 billion, to

providers of renewable energy. The Government has now

accepted that the total bill for implementing its renewables

strategy is in the region of £100 billion – the equivalent of

£4,000 for every household in the country.

The price to the consumer

 

The Royal Academy of Engineering has calculated that:

  • the cost of electricity generated by nuclear power
  • (including the cost of decommissioning) is 2.3p per KWh;
  • coal-fired electricity costs 2.5p per KWh;
  • the cost of electricity generated by onshore wind is 5.4p
  • per KWh;
  • the cost of electricity generated by offshore wind is 7.2p
  • per KWh.

In other words, the cheapest form of wind power is two

and a half times the cost of nuclear or coal power, the first

of which is a carbon free baseload energy source.

This significant price differential is likely to get worse,

not better. The construction of wind farms in the UK, both

onshore and offshore, is facing large cost increases as the

raw materials required to build them become harder to

obtain. Turbine costs alone have risen by about 30% in

recent years. Siemens, which makes turbines, has no spare

capacity.

 

 

 

 

 

Chapter 5

DECLINING CONFIDENCE

 

DESPITE BEING CITED as the shining example of what can be

accomplished with wind power, the Danish Government has

cancelled plans for three offshore wind farms planned for

2008. It has also scheduled the withdrawal of subsidies from

some existing sites. Development of onshore wind plants in

Denmark has effectively stopped. Because Danish

companies dominate the European wind industry, however,

the Government is under pressure to continue its support.

Other countries are also reducing their support for wind

power. Germany for example reduced the tax breaks for

wind power in 2004. Domestic construction drastically slowed

as a result. Bloomberg News reported that “the unstable flow

of wind power in their networks” has forced German utilities

to buy more expensive energy, requiring them to raise prices

for the consumer.33 And a recent German Energy Agency

study stated that increasing the amount of wind power would

increase consumer costs 3.7 times;34 and that the theoretical

reduction of greenhouse gas emissions could be achieved

much more cheaply by simply installing filters on existing

fossil-fuel plants and develop what has become known as

supercritical clean coal technology. Carbon capture and

storage technology could be retrofitted to such a station in the

future when commercially developed.

 

Switzerland, also, is cutting subsidies as too expensive for

the lack of significant benefit. The Netherlands

decommissioned 90 turbines in 2004 (but to meet its EU

targets, it looks set to have to erect many more turbines).

Many Japanese utilities severely limit the amount of wind generated

power they buy, because of the instability they

cause. For the same reason, Ireland, in December 2003,

briefly halted all new wind power connections to the national

grid. On 4 December 2003 the Irish Electricity Regulator had

to take emergency measures to reduce the amount of wind

power on the Irish grid following major concerns about, “the

security and stability of the power system.”35 The Irish grid

manager concluded in a study released in February 2004

that:36

The cost of CO2  abatement arising from using large levels of wind

energy penetration appears high relative to other alternatives.


Are people prepared to pay for wind farms?

A poll was commissioned for this report to assess how willing

people are to pay higher electricity bills.44 The following

question was asked:

How willing or unwilling would you be to pay higher electricity bills if

the extra money funded renewable power sources like wind or solar

power?

The response was that:

􀂃 37% said they were very unwilling;

􀂃 24% said they were fairly unwilling;

􀂃 25% said they were neither willing or unwilling;

􀂃 12% said they were fairly willing;

􀂃 3% said they were very willing.

So, just as the UK is setting out to expand the number of

wind farms by six times, the rest of the world, the industry

itself, and the British public are all showing signs of doubt.

[The poll was conducted by PoliticsHome who interviewed 1774 people

from their Phi5000 panel on the 16 May 2008. They were weighted to

match the demographic profile of Great Britain. PoliticsHome is the

leading UK tracker of political news and opinion. The full results of the

poll can be found in Appendix of this report].

 

 

Chapter 6

 

PLANNING

 

PLANNING LAW, in principle, addresses the relative merits of an

application and the value of the development to the proposer,

against the potential disadvantages and advantages to the local

community. Where a balance of advantage appears clear, it is

generally accepted that applications are accepted.

But, in the case of wind applications, Government

guidance on renewables targets is encouraging councils to

override all other issues. Local government seems to be

supporting wind farm applications irrespective of their

usefulness, efficiency or practicality. The concerns of local

people are often being overridden by planning officers.

Councils examining wind farm applications are not

obliged to take into consideration the economic viability of

the project; or whether the topography and meteorological

conditions at the proposed site are suitable. It is naively

presumed the presence of the application itself reflects the

suitability of the site.

For example, at a planning inquiry last year into the

erection of five 120m 2MW turbines near Burnham on Sea,

Somerset, the Planning Inspector placed at the top of his list

of issues for examination, “the contribution that the

proposal would make to achieving regional and national

targets for renewable energy generation.” The appeal was

eventually dismissed after a local campaign highlighting the

environmental, health and negative economic impact of the

proposed turbines on the area.

 

Wind companies have deep pockets (partly filled of course

with income from the Renewables Obligation) with which to

fight planning applications. For example, a proposal by

Enertrag to build six wind turbines in countryside at

Guestwick in Norfolk was opposed by the vast majority of the

local community. The plan was turned down in 2005 on the

recommendation of local planning officers and Norfolk

County Council. This decision was appealed by Enertrag. A

public inquiry was held in 2006. The planning inspector

ruled that the appeal should be dismissed because of the

turbines’ likely impact on the local landscape. Enertrag

appealed to the High Court to have the decision overturned.

To the surprise of the local community the Treasury solicitor

decided not to contest the application. The decision of the

inspector was set aside and a second public inquiry was held

in June 2007 with another inspector. Again, Enertrag’s

arguments were dismissed. But Enertrag is now seeking a

judicial review. If it wins, it will seek a third planning inquiry.

If that is unsuccessful, they are prepared to resubmit their

scheme. As the local MP Keith Simpson has noted:

….under a subsidy system, developers can keep returning until

they have worn down the inspectors and the local community.

Local residents have had to fund their own legal representation.

At Guestwick, the local community raised £15,000 for the

first inquiry, and £20,000 for the second. A third inquiry could

cost them £25,000. And that is only the direct costs: through

taxation and through their electricity bills, they are effectively

funding the developers, as well as having to fund their legal

representation. As local MP Richard Bacon has said:47

One of the most offensive aspects of this is not simply that local

residents have to fund their campaigns but that, through taxes

and subsidies, they are funding the potential despoliation of their

landscape.

Wind farm companies are receiving subsidies from

consumers’ electricity bills to help construct turbines. But

those same consumers are not permitted to have various

items of crucial information at the planning stage. This bias

in the planning system is unjustifiable.

 

 

Chapter 7

 

ENVIRONMENTAL & MILITARY

OBJECTIONS

 

THE PRESENCE OF WIND TURBINES introduces an industrial

plant to a rural area. Wind farms are generally considered to

be ugly. They affect birdlife, ecology and can raise health

issues. And they affect house prices and can deter tourism.

Energy companies have applied to build 3,000 wind turbines

over the next five years, creating fears for hundreds of

acres of rural landscape.52 The Campaign for the Protection

of Rural England (CPRE) has expressed its disquiet over the

large number of planning applications.

Pictures from the energy companies show slim towers

rising cleanly from the landscape or hovering faintly in the

distant haze, their presence modulated by soft clouds

behind them. But a 200 to 400 foot tower supporting a

turbine housing the size of a bus and three 100 to 150 foot

rotor blades sweeping over an acre of air at more than 100

mph requires, for a start, a large and solid foundation. On a

1.5-MW tower, the turbine housing, or nacelle, weighs over

56 tons, the blade assembly weighs over 36 tons, and the

whole tower assembly totals over 163 tons.53 Wind farms are

industrial and commercial installations. As the Countryside

Agency has said, it makes no sense to tackle one

environmental problem by instead creating another.

 

The destruction of wildlife

 

The spinning turbine blades kill and maim birds and bats.

Especially vulnerable are large birds of prey that tend to fly in

the same sorts of places that developers like to construct wind

towers. Fog is a common situation on mountainous areas and

hills and this aggravates the problem for all birds.54

A 2002 study in Spain estimated that 11,200 birds of prey

(many of them already endangered), 350,000 bats, and

3,000,000 small birds are killed each year by wind turbines

and their power lines. Another analysis found that it is

officially recognised that on average a single turbine tower

kills 20 to 40 birds each year.

the plan to build eight 416ft-tall wind turbines on an abandoned airfield

in Cambridgeshire’s Ouse Valley. Each turbine will be twice the height of

Ely Cathedral.

It is illegal in the US to kill migratory birds. The US Fish and Wildlife

Service (FWS) has prevented the expansion of the large and numerous

Altamont Pass wind plants in California, rejecting as well the claim that

new solid towers would mitigate the problem.

 

Noise pollution

 

The problems with noise pollution are well documented. The

EU, for example, has just financed and published the results

of an investigation into wind power, finding noise complaints

to be valid and that noise levels could not be predicted before

developing a site.55 The report concluded that wind turbine

noise is more annoying than other industrial noises of the

same magnitude and that wind turbine noise is poorly

masked by background noise. The author, Dr Fits van den

Berg writes, “The sound of modern wind turbines on average

does not decrease at night, but rather becomes louder,

whereas most other sources are less noisy at night. At the

highest sound levels in this study (45 decibels or higher) there

is also a higher prevalence of sleep disturbance.”56 The

American Wind Energy Association acknowledges that a

turbine is audible 800 feet away. The US National Wind Coordinating

Committee (NWCC) admits that:

Wind turbines are highly visible structures that often are located

in conspicuous settings... they also generate noise that can be

disturbing to nearby residents.

 

The NWCC recommends that wind turbines be installed no

closer than half a mile from any dwelling.

The noise of one wind plant in Ireland was measured in

2002 at 60dB one kilometre upwind. The low-frequency

noise was above 70dB – the sound at which a normal

conversation is held between two people standing three feet

apart. A German/Dutch study in 2003 found significant

noise levels one mile away from a two year-old wind farm of

17 1.8-MW turbines, especially at night. In mountainous

areas the sound can echo over larger distances. This report

stated that: “the turbines are audible for most of the day

and night and a swishing sound is readily discernible.”58

New turbines do have quieter bearings and gears than

earlier turbines. However, the huge magnetised generators

can not avoid producing a low-frequency hum, and the

problem of 100 ft rotor blades chopping through the air at

over 100 mph also is insurmountable. Every time each

rotor passes the tower, the compression of air produces a

deep resonating thump. Only a “swishing” may be heard

directly beneath the turbine, but farther away the resulting

sound of several towers together has been described to be as

loud as a motorcycle, like aircraft continually passing

overhead, a “brick wrapped in a towel turning in a tumble

drier,” “as if someone was mixing cement in the sky,” “like a

train that never arrives.” It is a relentless rumble like

unceasing thunder from an approaching storm.60

The penetrating low-frequency aspect to the noise, a

thudding vibration, much like the throbbing bass of a

neighbouring night-club, travels much farther than the

usually measured “audible” noise. It may be why horses

which are calm around traffic and heavy construction are

known to become distressed when they approach wind

turbines. Many people have complained that it causes anxiety

and nausea. ‘Flicker’ is another health issue. It occurs when

low sun is behind wind turbines near sunrise and sunset; the

blades cast shadows which may cause serious irritation and in

some sensitive individuals, physiological responses. In hilly

areas with large arrays of machine, some buildings may be

exposed to ‘flicker’ for substantial parts of the day.

This also has huge implications for local house prices. A

valuer in mid Wales has suggested a probable 25%

reduction in house values caused by a proposed wind farm;

estate agents estimated that proposals for three 100m wind

turbines in Devon reduced the value of one particular

property by a third. The home owner commented:61

We couldn’t live here with those things towering over us. The

turbines would be west of us so we would get shadowing from the

sun and a stroking effect when the blades rotated. And we have

no background traffic hum here to drown out the sound of the

turbines. We went to see some smaller ones in Cornwall and

heard them before we saw them.

 

Military objections

Military objections are a relatively recent but increasingly

important factor. In February 2008, the Ministry of Defence

(MoD) announced that wind turbines were jeopardising

national defence as the turbines interfere with radar. The

MoD has lodged last minute objections to at least four

onshore wind farms in the line of sight of its radar stations

on the east coast of England because they make it impossible

to spot incoming aircraft. The same objections are likely to

apply to recently proposed offshore wind farms in the

North Sea which would be directly in line with the three

principle radar defence stations, Brizlee Wood, Saxton

Wold and Trimingham on the Northumberland, Yorkshire

and Norfolk Coasts. Giving evidence to a planning inquiry

in October 2007 Squadron Leader Chris Breedon explained

that the turbines create a hole in radar coverage so that

aircraft flying overhead are not detected:62

This obscuration occurs regardless of the height of the aircraft, of

the radar and of the turbine.

Wind turbines are now reaching 500ft above ground

level. This is not high compared to the normal flying height

of most aircraft but for specialised pilots they are a serious

hazard. For example, the Station Commander of RAF

Shawbury63 has officially complained that proposals for a

wind farm in the North Shropshire countryside pose a

significant danger to the lives of his trainees.64

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chapter 8

 

CONCLUSION

 

BRITAIN ENJOYS THE BENEFITS of many indigenous energy

sources. Yet today we face a looming energy crisis.

Today, our electricity comes from a mix of power stations

the more recently built are mostly gas, the older mostly

coal-fired and nuclear. Over the next six to eight years, 40%

of this ageing fleet will be shut down on environmental,

efficiency and safety grounds. But replacement baseload

capacity is not being built. Despite three Energy White

Papers since 1997, new build has stalled.

Coal still provides 37% of our electricity, but now faces

the challenge of cutting its carbon emissions. As a baseload

supplier of electricity it can have a bright future if clean coal

technology is developed. Coal is comparatively cheap and

coal plants can be activated quickly to meets peaks in

demand and to help stabilise electricity prices. New

supercritical coal plants, which are able to be retrofitted with

carbon capture and storage facilities when the technology is

commercially available, are long overdue.

Electricity from gas-fired power stations has, until

recently, also provided relatively cheap supplies for the

consumer. Gas supplies 37% of our electricity. But Britain’s

reserves of indigenous gas are in decline and we have

become a net importer of gas for the first time. Gas prices

are tied to the high oil price and this shows little sign of

falling: electricity from gas-fired power stations is

increasingly expensive and the country risks becoming overdependent

on gas for the generation of electricity. And it

should not be forgotten that gas often has to be imported

from geo-politically turbulent regions.

Nuclear power is virtually carbon-free. Nuclear power

stations operate at exceptionally high load factors and

represent the most efficient source of baseload carbon-free

energy. The price of electricity produced by nuclear stations

is also competitive when compared against other baseload

suppliers like coal and gas.

 

Over the last decade the Government has let our nuclear

stations run down without any replacement plants. It will

now be difficult to rapidly increase nuclear power in the

UK. Teams and expertise have to be built up again. Nuclear

engineering know-how has dwindled while public fears, and

misunderstanding, on issues such as the handling of nuclear

waste have not been countered.

So it is true that the UK must now develop its nuclear,

clean coal (including coal gasification) and renewable

supplies of energy. Yet this does not mean that wind is the

only, or even a preferable option. For wind energy is

proving to be an unreliable, costly, uncompetitive and

unpopular horse in the great energy race. Overdependence

on wind energy and the resultant costs to

electricity consumers risks plummeting more and more

families into the fuel poverty trap.

 

Britain’s coastline is over 11,000 miles long and has some

of the highest tidal ranges in the world. Tidal energy

provides a far higher level of load consistency than wind

and can be housed and installed away from the population

thereby negating the problems, cost and time taken up with

lengthy planning applications so associated with wind.

Compared with wind energy, the costs and environmental

impact of tidal energy are substantially lower. David

Cameron was right to herald tidal power in his speech

unveiling the Blue Green Charter.65

Wind energy, in contrast, can only play a negligible role

in plugging Britain’s looming energy gap. It is time to call a

halt to new wind farms, and to expand aggressively our

nuclear, clean coal and tidal resources.

 

 

 

 

APPENDIX

SURVEY RESULTS

POLITICSHOME interviewed 1,774 people from their

Phi5000 panel on the 16 May 2008. The responses were

weighted to match the demographic profile of Great Britain.

 

[FYI]

Public Opinion Research: The Phi5000 Panel

The Phi5000 panel is PoliticsHome’s daily measure of how opinion

is shifting in the general public. A specially recruited, politically

balanced panel of 5000 real voters across the country, taken from the

YouGov panel, answer a short survey every day, consisting of rotating

tracking questions and ad-hocs.

Data from the Phi5000 Panel has featured in front page stories in

the Daily Telegraph and Observer, as well as the Financial Times,

Evening Standard, Daily Mail, Scotsman, Bloomberg and across the

blogosphere.]

 

 

How willing or unwilling would you be to pay higher electricity bills if

the extra money funded renewable power sources like wind or solar

power?

 

Political allegiance

Total

Lab

Con

Lib

Other

None

Don’t

 

 

 

Dem

 

 

Know

Very unwilling

Fairly unwilling

Neither willing nor unwilling

Fairly willing

Very willing

 37

 24

 

 25

 12

  3

35

26

 

26

10 

 3

45

24

 

22

8

1

26

24

 

28

17

 5

47

19

 

17

15

  3

37

21

 

31

10

 2

24

20

 

48

8

0

Gender and Age

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

Male

Female

18 to

35 to

55+

 

 

 

 

34

54

 

Very unwilling Fairly unwilling Neither willing nor unwilling Fairly willing Very willing

37

24

 

25

12

3

41

20

 

26

10

3

34

27

 

25

12

2

25

27

 

28

17

3

39

21

 

27

10

3

44

24

 

22

9

2